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Red2
32370.7
21490.8
29230.2
Blue0
29070.7
29210.3
13590.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12034567820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2149
#54
0.80.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2907
#41
0.70.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3237
#23
0.70.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2921
#60
0.30.2
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2923
#59
0.20.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1359
#36
0.20.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End