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Red5
29101.6
19832.5
3601.1
Blue1
29070.7
21470.8
29761.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62048101251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#12
2.50.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1.10.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.60.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2147
#51
0.80.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
360
#28
1.10.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2907
#41
0.70.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End