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Red5
21470.8
4920.5
32212.3
Blue7
29151.5
9481.6
28981.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3405101557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
948
#16
1.60.0
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2147
#51
0.80.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1.50.0
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
492
#42
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1.40.0
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End