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Red16
2960.4
20566.1
11147.6
Blue8
13102.3
31901.2
13052.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16501020253035168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.60.0
7.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2.90.0
2.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.10.0
6.26.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2.30.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
296
#24
0.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3190
#23
1.20.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End