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Red10
31611.7
20566.1
31901.2
Blue4
12191.2
25050.9
13102.3
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33024681012104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6.10.6
2.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2.30.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.70.6
0.30.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1219
#11
1.20.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3190
#23
1.20.6
0.40.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2505
#13
0.90.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End