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Red0
22001.4
26090.6
7710.6
Blue5
31611.7
7811.5
6102.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2406810121405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2200
#16
1.40.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
610
#14
2.10.1
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2609
#25
0.60.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1.70.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
771
#21
0.60.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
781
#6
1.50.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End