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Red8
13052.9
15351.0
22001.4
Blue1
23610.5
7710.6
27022.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4102681081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.90.4
2.22.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2702
#17
2.00.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2200
#16
1.40.4
0.71.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
771
#21
0.60.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1535
#18
1.00.4
0.50.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2361
#29
0.50.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End