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Red3
23860.7
13102.3
7721.4
Blue0
26250.8
2960.4
15351.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1535
#18
1.00.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
772
#15
1.40.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2625
#26
0.80.1
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2386
#22
0.70.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
296
#24
0.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End