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Red1
10002.0
23610.5
13341.3
Blue3
31901.2
26090.6
15651.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4302681013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1000
#12
2.00.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1565
#10
1.30.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1334
#19
1.30.2
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3190
#23
1.20.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2361
#29
0.50.2
0.20.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2609
#25
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End