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Red5
12191.2
8541.4
10002.0
Blue7
13052.9
15651.3
31611.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4602810121457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1000
#12
2.00.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2.90.1
2.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
854
#30
1.40.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1.70.1
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1219
#11
1.20.1
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1565
#10
1.30.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End