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Red1
26250.8
12460.4
12191.2
Blue3
13341.3
7710.6
7811.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42068101213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1219
#11
1.20.2
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
781
#6
1.50.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2625
#26
0.80.2
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1334
#19
1.30.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1246
#27
0.40.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
771
#21
0.60.0
0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End