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Red2
13052.9
10750.3
26250.8
Blue1
31611.7
26090.6
23860.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5402681012141621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.90.2
3.12.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1.70.2
2.11.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2625
#26
0.80.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2386
#22
0.70.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
0.30.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2609
#25
0.60.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End