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Red2
33221.3
5180.9
19400.3
Blue0
3260.8
491.0
26200.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23046810121420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
49
#14
1.00.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
518
#13
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
326
#15
0.80.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1940
#33
0.30.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
0.70.2
0.80.5
Auto
Teleop
End