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Red4
28321.7
34140.1
3260.8
Blue3
12160.6
8302.1
8351.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.2
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
830
#2
2.10.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
326
#15
0.80.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
835
#10
1.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3414
#28
0.10.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1216
#34
0.60.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End