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Red4
5732.8
26270.8
31140.7
Blue1
681.2
5030.7
15960.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#3
2.80.2
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
68
#26
1.20.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2627
#24
0.80.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
503
#11
0.70.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3114
#40
0.70.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1596
#37
0.10.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End