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Red5
28321.7
8621.0
31140.7
Blue0
19400.3
11880.3
12501.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1250
#18
1.20.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
862
#9
1.00.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1188
#25
0.30.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3114
#40
0.70.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1940
#33
0.30.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End