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Red2
11880.3
26270.8
8941.1
Blue5
26200.7
5180.9
8351.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#16
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
835
#10
1.70.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2627
#24
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
518
#13
0.90.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1188
#25
0.30.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
0.70.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End