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Red5
2471.4
26200.7
8621.0
Blue3
8351.7
31140.7
19980.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#6
1.40.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
835
#10
1.70.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
862
#9
1.00.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3114
#40
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1998
#30
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End