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Red2
23380.7
24813.0
7061.9
Blue0
2160.9
20391.4
25060.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32014567820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.00.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2039
#27
1.40.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
706
#5
1.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
216
#32
0.90.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2338
#36
0.70.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2506
#16
0.70.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End