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Red2
34180.2
25742.3
22020.9
Blue1
931.9
25470.4
21971.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
93
#18
1.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2202
#26
0.90.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2197
#31
1.20.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3418
#24
0.20.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2547
#50
0.40.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End