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Red3
21971.2
27090.6
31470.7
Blue7
21941.9
1671.5
17161.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2205101537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#31
1.20.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1.90.4
0.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3147
#41
0.70.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1.70.4
0.61.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2709
#34
0.60.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
167
#8
1.50.4
0.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End