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Red2
30901.0
31470.7
25470.4
Blue3
17161.7
2690.5
16520.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1302468101223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3090
#28
1.00.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1.70.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3147
#41
0.70.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1652
#39
0.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2547
#50
0.40.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
269
#43
0.50.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End