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Red1
17360.5
12591.1
11031.1
Blue0
31971.7
13061.1
21691.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#19
1.10.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3197
#15
1.70.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1103
#13
1.10.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2169
#35
1.10.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1736
#47
0.50.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1306
#22
1.10.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End