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Red1
20391.4
20770.6
31470.7
Blue2
2881.1
10911.2
17360.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#27
1.40.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1091
#10
1.20.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3147
#41
0.70.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
288
#29
1.10.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2077
#30
0.60.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1736
#47
0.50.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End