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Red0
22020.9
27090.6
20622.1
Blue6
28300.2
17322.5
7061.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions440268101206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.4
2.21.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1732
#11
2.50.2
1.92.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2202
#26
0.90.4
1.10.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
706
#5
1.90.2
1.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2709
#34
0.60.4
1.00.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2830
#48
0.20.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End