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Red4
13061.1
23380.7
18640.2
Blue6
21691.1
18161.2
20622.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130246810121446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#22
1.10.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2.10.3
0.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2338
#36
0.70.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1816
#20
1.20.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1864
#49
0.20.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2169
#35
1.10.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End