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Red2
17810.3
21691.1
23380.7
Blue1
27090.6
16520.9
16750.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#35
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1652
#39
0.90.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2338
#36
0.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1675
#44
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1781
#40
0.30.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2709
#34
0.60.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End