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Red3
10181.7
12680.9
2160.9
Blue11
33622.1
17322.5
31971.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250468101214311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#14
1.70.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1732
#11
2.50.5
2.12.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1268
#33
0.90.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
3362
#12
2.10.5
1.62.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
216
#32
0.90.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3197
#15
1.70.5
1.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End