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Red1
18640.2
20622.1
31470.7
Blue2
1711.1
33810.7
11031.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.2
2.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
171
#45
1.10.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3147
#41
0.70.2
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1103
#13
1.10.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1864
#49
0.20.2
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3381
#21
0.70.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End