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Red4
31971.7
10911.2
23380.7
Blue2
22020.9
18640.2
25000.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4102681042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#15
1.70.0
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2202
#26
0.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1091
#10
1.20.0
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2500
#38
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2338
#36
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1864
#49
0.20.0
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End