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Red4
1113.1
20770.6
17142.6
Blue5
1711.1
17322.5
25742.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76248101245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
3.10.1
3.33.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1732
#11
2.50.0
2.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.60.1
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2.30.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2077
#30
0.60.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
171
#45
1.10.0
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End