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Red4
28771.4
32801.2
3580.9
Blue3
27911.4
1951.4
31250.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.40.2
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
195
#10
1.40.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.23.0
3.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2791
#13
1.40.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
358
#15
0.90.2
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3125
#11
0.61.2
1.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End