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Red1
3580.9
31250.6
32730.1
Blue3
1570.3
1720.8
1901.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220468101213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#15
0.90.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
190
#12
1.80.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3125
#11
0.60.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
172
#8
0.80.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3273
#21
0.10.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
157
#22
0.30.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End