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Red3
32801.2
19950.6
6630.1
Blue0
27911.4
11240.8
8390.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220112233430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.20.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2791
#13
1.40.2
1.31.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1995
#16
0.60.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1124
#23
0.80.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
663
#20
0.10.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
839
#28
0.20.2
0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End