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Red0
1570.3
7160.2
27911.4
Blue11
25230.9
17351.8
2302.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681012011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#13
1.40.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
230
#1
2.80.7
1.52.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
157
#22
0.30.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1.80.7
1.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
716
#26
0.20.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2523
#19
0.90.7
0.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End