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Red2
26211.1
6630.1
31250.6
Blue1
2280.8
32050.4
7160.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.10.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
228
#27
0.80.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3125
#11
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3205
#18
0.40.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
663
#20
0.10.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
716
#26
0.20.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End