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Red100
93130.2
151027.8
118221.3
Blue20
349422.8
12708.3
7669.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions872505010015020010020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#41
30.21.1
30.431.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3494
#54
22.80.7
21.120.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1510
#36
27.81.1
24.325.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
766
#67
9.40.7
10.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1182
#32
21.31.3
22.523.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
1270
#29
8.31.0
2.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End