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Red43
294927.4
202213.3
15189.6
Blue104
106514.2
132330.5
7718.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5042010015043104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2949
#72
27.40.3
27.827.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1323
#43
30.53.1
28.631.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2022
#58
13.30.3
11.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1065
#46
14.23.1
9.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1518
#47
9.60.3
9.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
771
#75
8.73.1
4.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End