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Red104
374715.8
191836.6
309838.0
Blue94
191220.3
298429.9
349422.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966505015020010494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.6
37.738.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
2984
#24
29.91.2
28.729.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1918
#13
36.60.6
37.237.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
3494
#54
22.81.2
21.722.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3747
#28
15.80.6
16.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1912
#35
20.31.2
19.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End