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Red70
301025.6
294927.4
1811-0.3
Blue32
36942.9
30322.4
19029.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474302060801001207032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2949
#72
27.41.3
28.329.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
190
#48
29.50.6
25.024.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3010
#15
25.61.4
18.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
303
#51
22.40.6
17.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1811
#80
-0.31.8
0.01.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
3694
#83
2.90.8
0.5-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End