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Red81
153511.2
118221.3
298429.9
Blue3
93130.2
169023.4
2384.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63580100150813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2984
#24
29.90.9
27.528.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
931
#41
30.22.8
31.328.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1182
#32
21.30.9
24.925.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1690
#53
23.43.1
22.919.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1535
#64
11.20.9
10.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
238
#56
4.92.8
4.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End