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Red102
301025.6
1679.9
11845.4
Blue42
171839.6
37048.7
153511.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7651010015020010242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#10
45.41.5
42.343.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1718
#11
39.60.7
38.938.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3010
#15
25.61.5
21.923.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
1535
#64
11.20.7
11.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
167
#73
9.91.5
8.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3704
#40
8.70.7
5.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End