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Red41
191220.3
162927.3
84626.5
Blue100
353936.7
147734.2
153511.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688105010015020025041100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#19
27.31.4
27.526.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
36.71.1
38.539.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
846
#33
26.51.4
26.324.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
34.21.1
29.530.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1912
#35
20.31.4
16.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1535
#64
11.21.1
10.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End