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Red115
17737.5
254917.9
325617.5
Blue35
202213.3
118221.3
37048.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions743205010015020011535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#6
37.52.4
39.041.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
1182
#32
21.30.2
22.222.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2549
#30
17.92.4
13.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2022
#58
13.30.2
11.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3256
#63
17.52.4
15.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
3704
#40
8.70.2
5.45.2
Auto
Teleop
End