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Qual 152011 Arizona Regional
Red23
84221.7
1290-1.5
26626.0
Blue3
21343.5
34622.7
31584.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20100406080233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#1
21.70.4
14.2→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.4
3158
#13
4.40.7
5.8→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2662
#28
6.00.4
3.7→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.5
2134
#31
3.50.7
4.1→3.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1290
#34
-1.50.4
0.6→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.2
3462
#26
2.70.7
1.9→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—