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Qual 172011 Arizona Regional
Red0
18284.7
3187-0.6
37852.8
Blue7
12122.4
4987.3
149213.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions814020304007

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1828
#39
4.70.7
2.6→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.1
1492
#4
13.80.5
5.5→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3785
#15
2.80.7
4.5→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.4
498
#7
7.30.5
3.2→2.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3187
#38
-0.60.7
1.8→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.0
1212
#41
2.40.5
4.1→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—