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Red5
24865.9
35172.5
10117.5
Blue0
21283.0
38530.6
31703.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1610040608010012014050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#11
7.50.8
4.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
3170
#21
3.80.9
3.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2486
#14
5.90.8
6.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2128
#16
3.00.9
6.15.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2.50.8
4.53.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3853
#33
0.60.9
1.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End