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Red0
996-1.3
34622.7
149213.8
Blue4
31703.8
28442.9
35172.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions690152025303504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.80.5
5.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
3170
#21
3.80.4
2.62.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3462
#26
2.70.5
1.20.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2844
#24
2.90.4
2.42.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
996
#30
-1.30.5
0.0-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2.50.4
3.73.3
Auto
Teleop
End