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Red0
21283.0
31330.6
37852.8
Blue11
10132.6
16334.5
31584.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914052025303540011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2128
#16
3.00.8
5.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1633
#17
4.50.2
4.13.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3785
#15
2.80.8
2.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3158
#13
4.40.2
5.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3133
#36
0.60.8
1.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1013
#37
2.60.2
3.93.7
Auto
Teleop
End