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Qual 452011 Arizona Regional
Red30
4987.3
28408.7
84221.7
Blue6
30194.7
24865.9
149213.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33210104050607080306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#1
21.70.1
17.9→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.9
1492
#4
13.81.4
9.6→8.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2840
#10
8.70.1
8.1→8.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.8
2486
#14
5.91.4
5.2→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
498
#7
7.30.1
4.9→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.6
3019
#22
4.71.4
8.0→6.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—